John Douglas

A Concrete Blonde

Tag: Fight Night

A brief history of Ben Askren and his opponents records

Posted on September 8, 2014  in Writing

Ben Askren 14-0

KO/TKO: 4 Sub: 4 Dec: 6

  • 2009.02.07 – TKO Josh Flowers (0-2)

  • 2009.04.25 – SUB Mitchell Harris (1-3)

  • 2009.08.28 – SUB Matt Delanoit (14-6-0-1)

  • 2010.04.15 – SUB Ryan Thomas (10-3)

  • 2010.05.20 – UD Ryan Thomas (11-4)

  • 2010.06.17 – UD Dan Hornbuckle (21-2)

  • 2010.10.21 – UD Lyman Good (10-0)

  • 2011.04.09 – UD Nick Thompson (38-13-1)

  • 2011.10.29 – SD Jay Hieron (22-4)

  • 2012.04.06 – UD Douglas Lima (21-4)

  • 2013.01.24 – TKO Karl Amoussou (16-4-2)

  • 2013.07.31 – TKO Andrey Koreshkov (13-0)

  • 2014.05.30 – SUB Bakhtiyar Abbasov (12-2)

  • 2014.08.29 – TKO Nobutatsu Suzuki (11-1-2)

Counting Ryan Thomas twice, Askren’s opposition had a combined record of 200-48-5-1 going into their fights with him.

The look in Koreshkov’s eyes after the takedown in the second round in Askren-Koreshkov fight made me Askren fan.

Before the fight started they mentioned that Koreshkov did not bring wrestlers into the training camp. When Koreshkov had been completely dominated in the first round and Askren started the same wrestle-fuck in the second, you could see how light went out from Koreshkov’s eyes. He didn’t stop trying or give up, but you could see how his spirit was broken from the non-stop catch-and-release wrestling.

, , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tag: Fight Night

Sara McMann just wrestled her way to a split decision.

Posted on August 17, 2014  in Uncategorized

Sara basically wrestled her way to victory. She pretty much took Murphy down at will, but didn’t really pass guard or do a lot of ground n’ pound. Lauren was active off of her back throwing a fuck ton of little rabbit punches that did no damage. The UFC stats say she landed 193 strikes, and McMann had a teeny-tiny shiner under one of her eyes to show for it.

The stats pretty much tell the story.

McMann – 5 takedowns, 10:41 seconds of control.
Murphy – 0 takedowns 14 seconds of control.

McMann – 64 of 112 strikes landed – 38 significant.
Murphy – 193 of 236 strikes land – 48 significant.

Almost all of Murphy’s strikes and significant strikes coming off of her back.

I mean, it’s almost impossible to have consistent judging in a fight like McMann-Murphy, because it all depends upon how you view what’s happening.

It’s also a case of people not knowing the judging criteria.

The majority of the fight took place on the ground, with McMann in top control. Here are the literal rules for scoring a fight when it is on the ground:

If the mixed martial artists spent a majority of a round on the canvas, then:

Effective grappling is weighed first; and

Effective striking is then weighed.

The key there being, when the majority of a round is on the ground, grappling takes precedence over striking.

So when someone is dominating in top position for the majority of the fight, they are scoring more points than someone throwing a bunch of rabbit punches off of their back.

Now, the other key word here is “effective,” and what is “effective” grappling, and “effective” striking.

You could make a case that there was basically not really any effective striking in the entire match. There was some effective grappling by McMann, with the 5 take downs, and a couple of guard passes, but not much.

It was just a shitty fight all around.

I think you have to give it to McMann though. When they were on the feet, McMann clearly got the better of the striking exchanges. Same when they were in the clinch. Also, McMann had top control for basically 2/3rds of the fight. As paced as her ground and pound and grappling was, according to the unified rules, it beats out Murphy’s shitty rabbit punches off of her back.

Also, at no point did Murphy even attempt to threaten with a sub from her back, so it’s not like you can award her points for an active or threatening guard. If she had been constantly going for subs, keeping McMann on the defensive, threatening to land a few, then you could probably give her the fight, but that didn’t happen at all what so ever.

, , , , , , , , , , ,


Tag: Fight Night

Machida is currently 13/2 (+650) to beat Weidman via KO/TKO.

Posted on May 27, 2014  in Uncategorized

Those are bad odds. I wouldn’t touch Machida by KO at +650 (13.3%). Maybe if it was +1500 or better.

Consider that Machida’s won 8 of his 21 victories by KO (38%), then consider his odds of winning as a whole. Even if you give Machida 33% odds of winning, that’s still only a 12.5% chance of winning via KO based on prior performance, meaning +650 is (roughly) the break-even if Machida has a one-third chance of winning and has a similar probability of winning via KO as he has vs. previous opponents.

Every match has it’s intricacies and stylistic matchups, but in order for this bet to be sound, you have to justify either:

  • Machida having a better chance to KO Weidman than his previous opponents OR
  • Machida having a very good (>33%) chance to win

Personally I don’t see either of those happening. I don’t think he has a better chance of KO-ing Weidman than he did his previous opponents, and I give him a ~25% chance of winning.

, , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tag: Fight Night

Top 20 biggest upsets in MMA History.

Posted on May 26, 2014  in Uncategorized

20.  Jamie Varner (+460) upsets Edson Barboza (-580)

19.  Zak Cummings (+475) upsets Yan Cabral (-560)

18.  Chan Sung Jung (+475) upsets Mark Hominick (-560)

17.  Zoila Frausto Gurgel (+500) upsets Megumi Fujii (-800)

16.  Tito Ortiz (+525) upsets Ryan Bader (-825)

15.  Frankie Edgar (+550) upsets Tyson Griffin (-1000)

14.  Joe Lauzon (+585) upsets Jens Pulver (-725)

13.  Pat Curran (+600) upsets Roger Huerta (-1000)

12.  Thiago Santos (+660) upsets Ronny Markes (-840)

11.  Sergey Golyaev (+700) upsets Takanori Gomi (-1100)

10.  Chad Griggs (+700) upsets Bobby Lashley (-1200)

9.  Matt Serra (+700) upsets Georges St-Pierre (-1000)

8.  Frankie Edgar (+725) upsets B.J. Penn (-1100)

7.  Johnny Eduardo (+735) upsets Eddie Wineland (-935)

6.  Joey Beltran (+750) upsets Rolles Gracie (-1500)

5.  T.J. Dillashaw (+765) upsets Renan Barao (-1250)

4.  Will Brooks (+800) upsets Michael Chandler (-1000)

3.  Larue Burley (+925) upsets Bubba Jenkins (-1400)

2.  Emanuel Newton (+975) upsets Muhammed Lawal (-1175)

1.  Rameau Sokoudjou (+1350) upsets Antonio Nogueira (-2300)

, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tag: Fight Night

Posted on March 24, 2014  in Uncategorized

Shogun’s Broken Nose.

, , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tag: Fight Night

Night of Upsets?

Posted on March 14, 2014  in Uncategorized

Just letting everyone know that a parlay of

Pat Curran
Rick Story
Jake Sheilds
Diego Sanchez
Robbie Lawler
Tyron Woodley

Is actually paying $370 for a bet of $1.  Let’s get lucky.

, , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tag: Fight Night

Let’s talk about the MMA G.O.A.T

Posted on January 3, 2014  in Uncategorized


Anderson Silva has 12 top ten wins, the average rank of the his challenger was 4.5 and his undefeated streak lasted 2633 days over the course of 17 fights

Fedor Emelianenko has 13 top ten wins, the average rank of his challenger was 5.5 and his undefeated streak lasted 3369 days over the course of 27 fights, 1 NC.

Georges St Pierre has 17 top ten wins, the average rank of his challenger was 3 and his undefeated streak lasted 2276 days over the course of  12 fights.

Jon Jones has 8 top ten wins, the average rank of his challenger was 3.5 and his undefeated streak lasted 1395 days over the course of 10 fights.*

Statics do not prove anything as a legacy cannot be proved with numbers. However, these would suggest that in fact Georges St Pierre is the GOAT.

*Up to January 2nd 2014

Just thought you should know.

, , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Tag: Fight Night

Rumor Alert: Brock Lesnar to return to MMA?

Posted on December 25, 2013  in Uncategorized

This is a mix of rumors floating and stuff I’ve heard from solid MMA/WWE sources.

Brock wants to come back 1-2x a yr for big $$ fights. Zuffa wants him back badly with PPV sales dipping since his departure. WWE has given him the go ahead to fight between WrestleMania and SummerSlam and SummerSlam and Survivor Series. This would allow Brock to fight on the big fourth of July cards in Vegas every summer before going back to wrestling.

WWE arranged so their deals with USA, SyFy, Ion, etc all expire at the same time and they are in serious negotiations with Fox Sports to have all programming on FS networks. Part of the reasoning behind giving Brock the OK to fight is extending an olive branch to Fox who has obviously made a gigantic time, money and resource investment into the UFC. WWEs new leadership believes their fans are smart enough to know the difference between them and MMA which opens up some cooperative feelings there.

, , , , , , , , ,


Tag: Fight Night

Pat Barry’s Leg Kicks

Posted on December 23, 2013  in Uncategorized

Of Pat Barry’s 7 TKO/KO wins, 3 have come by way of leg kick. This means..

Pat Barry ends 37.5% of the fights he wins by legkick.

Pat Barry has not ended a fight with a leg kick since his UFC début against Dan Evensen on Dec / 27 / 2008, a span of 4 years, 11 months, 10 days and 10 fights. 

Just in case you didn’t know.

, , , , ,


Tag: Fight Night

What GSP will be remembered for by the casual fans.

Posted on December 20, 2013  in Uncategorized

GSP is by far one of the greatest Welterweights in MMA history, however the majority of MMA fans will remember him for this.

Georges has not finished an opponent since Jan / 31 / 2009 at UFC 94 against B.J. Penn via Corner stoppage, a span of 4 years, 10 months, 7 days and 7 fights.

Georges has not finished an opponent with strikes or submission since Apr / 19 / 2008 against Matt Serra at UFC 83, defeating Serra by Knees to the body, a span of 5 years, 8 months, 2 days and 9 fights.

, , , , , , ,